国足在十八强赛第9轮的比赛中客场不敌印尼，球队就将径直从世初赛十八强赛中被淘汰出局。三连败之后，国足照旧绝对失去纵贯但愿，何况争夺附加赛限额齐越发难题。数据网站Football Meets Data也进行了全新一轮的计较，凭证该网站的数据，国足有57%的概率小组垫底，垫底几率最大，而印尼尚有0.4%机直爽通全国杯，同期国足也有82%的几率无缘附加赛。

总体来说Football Meets Data估计，晋级全国杯亚洲区预选赛下一轮的球队有：92%阿联酋、90%卡塔尔、84%沙特、83%阿曼、80%伊拉克、60%印尼。

国足晋级前四的表面概率极低（<10%），实质已接近出局。临了两场需名胜+敌手‘助攻’。” 球队不仅需要尽可能获得两连胜，还需要沙特和印尼在背面两场比赛中掉链子。而如若国摆布轮客场战平印尼，天然球队仍保有表面战夺附加赛的可能性，但从数学角度来看概率小于3%，因国足需在临了一轮征服巴林的同期祷告印尼和沙特双双输球。

国足将在6月5日客战印尼，关于国足来说这是绝弗成输的一场生苦战。在如斯严峻复杂的积分时局下，中国队思要连接全国杯梦思，只好华山一条谈——争取两连胜，尽可能掌捏主动权。任务天然难题，但并非无法完成。在首回合交手中，中国队2:1打败印尼队，1:0“绝杀”巴林队，也曾获得过两连胜。

简约来说，下一所在对印尼的比赛，若是不粗略取胜，国足将提前告别2026年全国杯，提前5年准备2030年全国杯了。整个的但愿齐在这临了两场比赛，两连胜则笃定粗略晋级附加赛，凡是少拿一分那齐岌岌可危了。当今不是全国末日，足协或在6月用归化威望决死一博，毕竟印尼基本齐是欧洲归化班底，国足当今再不走顶点，也愈加不可能创造名胜了。

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